Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.769188 16.676317 18.796388 21.338814 24.319145 27.719352 31.916764
2025-10-19 11.885474 14.256201 17.098610 20.794526 25.527468 31.459789 39.577700
2025-10-26 10.692652 13.375211 16.767224 21.443279 27.837721 36.450837 49.239695
2025-11-02 9.504093 12.270556 15.913188 21.167771 28.737092 39.545807 56.725459
2025-11-09 8.553854 11.335358 15.123013 20.799910 29.350922 42.201469 63.911272
2025-11-16 7.825096 10.608266 14.511831 20.565297 30.059108 45.013077 71.767836
2025-11-23 7.130125 9.852601 13.767548 20.018144 30.169922 46.835320 78.227115
2025-11-30 6.646822 9.354174 13.341946 19.891663 30.901488 49.737013 87.123773
2025-12-07 6.056825 8.645872 12.531572 19.057749 30.332948 50.276290 91.602441
2025-12-14 5.494999 7.937688 11.661907 18.036154 29.309635 49.831789 93.990028
2025-12-21 5.128858 7.504448 11.188663 17.625758 29.307402 51.263819 100.559987
2025-12-28 5.285720 7.898948 12.067633 19.606340 33.895987 62.270310 130.904932
2026-01-04 5.141469 7.810610 12.163501 20.252775 36.131143 69.105472 153.998603
2026-01-11 4.796616 7.370011 11.631617 19.703942 35.945899 70.777897 164.639513
2026-01-18 4.676952 7.294579 11.718301 20.313921 38.195014 78.264015 193.318559
2026-01-25 4.431342 6.987712 11.372858 20.055940 38.575474 81.481485 210.892332
2026-02-01 4.194367 6.680250 11.002874 19.711736 38.720140 84.153443 227.752650
2026-02-08 3.994769 6.425484 10.709717 19.492149 39.112778 87.524133 248.145177
2026-02-15 3.771180 6.115138 10.292639 18.979893 38.768035 88.916267 262.349257
2026-02-22 3.616077 5.918340 10.074352 18.861449 39.334734 92.879234 287.484282
2026-03-01 3.388680 5.578737 9.564292 18.080230 38.210621 91.938700 293.660713
2026-03-08 3.154773 5.216589 8.991698 17.122487 36.554595 89.230288 292.025240
2026-03-15 3.004664 5.001660 8.692072 16.737516 36.291601 90.581717 307.929864